Mortgage Rates Canada 2024: Predictions, Trends, and Tips for Homebuyers

Are you planning to buy a home in Canada in the next few years? If so, it’s important to understand the current and future trends in mortgage rates. As of now, mortgage rates in Canada have been on a steady upward trend, and this is expected to continue into 2024. Economic factors such as inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical uncertainty are all contributing to this trend. In this article, and you will discuss the factors driving mortgage rates higher, make predictions for 2024, and provide tips for homebuyers to secure the best possible mortgage rate.

Factors Driving Mortgage Rates Higher

There are several key factors that are driving mortgage rates higher in Canada. Let’s take a closer look at each one.


Inflation has been a major concern for the Bank of Canada (BOC) in recent years. Inflation refers to the general increase in prices of goods and services over time. When inflation rises, the BOC raises interest rates to keep it under control. This is because higher interest rates make it more expensive for banks to lend money, and this cost is passed on to borrowers in the form of higher mortgage rates.

According to the latest data from Statistics Canada, the annual inflation rate in Canada was 3.6% in May 2021, the highest it has been since May 2011. This is well above the BOC’s target range of 1-3%. The BOC has already raised interest rates three times in 2022 and is expected to continue raising them throughout 2023. This means that inflation will continue to put upward pressure on mortgage rates in the coming years.

Rising Interest Rates

As mentioned earlier, the BOC has been gradually raising interest rates since March 2022. This is expected to continue throughout 2023, and will further drive up mortgage rates. The BOC’s key interest rate, also known as the overnight rate, currently stands at 1.75%. This is significantly higher than the record low of 0.25% in 2020.

The BOC’s decision to raise interest rates is driven by its mandate to keep inflation under control. As the economy recovers from the pandemic, the BOC wants to prevent it from overheating and causing a surge in inflation. Higher interest rates make it more expensive for banks to borrow money, and this cost is passed on to borrowers in the form of higher mortgage rates.

Predictions for Mortgage Rates in 2024

Based on current trends and economic forecasts, it is safe to assume that mortgage rates in Canada will continue to rise in 2024. The BOC has indicated that it plans to gradually increase interest rates over the next few years, which will have a direct impact on mortgage rates.

According to a recent report by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the average mortgage rate in Canada is expected to reach 3.5% by the end of 2024. This is a significant increase from the current average rate of around 2.5%. However, it’s important to note that these are just predictions and actual rates may vary depending on various economic factors.

Tips for Homebuyers

As a homebuyer, it’s important to be prepared for higher mortgage rates in the coming years. Here are some tips to help you secure the best possible mortgage rate:

Research and Compare Lenders

With mortgage rates on the rise, it’s crucial to do your research and compare lenders to find the best deal. Don’t settle for the first offer you receive, as different lenders may have different rates and terms. Use online tools and resources to compare rates and choose a lender that offers the most competitive rate for your financial situation.

Improve Your Credit Score

Your credit score plays a significant role in determining the interest rate you will receive on your mortgage. The higher your credit score, the lower your interest rate will be. Therefore, it’s important to work on improving your credit score before applying for a mortgage. This can include paying off outstanding debts, making payments on time, and keeping your credit utilization low.

Consider a Fixed-Rate Mortgage

With mortgage rates expected to rise, it may be a good idea to consider a fixed-rate mortgage rather than a variable-rate one. A fixed-rate mortgage offers a set interest rate for the entire term of the loan, providing stability and predictability in your monthly payments. On the other hand, a variable-rate mortgage has an interest rate that fluctuates with market conditions, which could result in higher payments if rates continue to rise.


In conclusion, mortgage rates in Canada are expected to continue their upward trend into 2024 due to factors such as inflation and rising interest rates. As a homebuyer, it’s important to understand these trends and be prepared for higher rates when planning to purchase a home. By doing your research, improving your credit score, and considering a fixed-rate mortgage, you can position yourself to get the best possible mortgage rate and make a smart home-buying decision. Keep an eye on economic forecasts and stay informed about any changes in the market to make the most informed decision for your financial future.

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